From January 13th to 14th, “2018 China Manufacturing Forum: New Industrial Revolution under Global Manufacturing Change” was held in Foshan. Cai Hongping, founder of Hande Industry 4.0 Fund and former Executive Chairman of Deutsche Bank Asia-Pacific Investment Bank, stated that “In the first When the four industrial revolutions arrived, China’s manufacturing industry needed to change some tactics. The industrial upgrading must be changed from the development of demographic dividends to the development of technological dividends. The only development path in the manufacturing industry is robotization, which can be used to develop human-robot collaboration robots. And service robots."
Cai Hongping judged that there are three major opportunities in the Fourth Industrial Revolution that really drive the development of the national economy. The first block is a robot, the second block is an electric car, and the third block is a new material, from graphene, lithium batteries, and three yuan. Cathode material and so on.
"From 2016 to 2019, it is expected that the robotics industry will grow at a rate of 30%, robotics will have a very fast penetration, and China will account for one-third of the global market. Within the industry, there is no industry that can develop at such a rapid pace. "Cai Hongping pointed out that the current penetration rate of Western robotics refers to the number of robots in 10,000 individuals. It is worth noting that China's figure is very low, with less than 50 in 10,000 people, and South Korea is the highest. At present there are 400 people in 10,000 people. The data in Germany and Japan are equally high. China has a lot of space in this area.
Cai Hongping believes that the third industrial revolution is to turn people into machines. The fourth industrial revolution is to turn machines into people. The only development path in Chinese manufacturing is robotization. The opportunity is to develop human-robot collaboration robots and services. robot. In the area of industrial robots, Cai Hongping stated that because the core components such as motors, sensors, and control systems used by robots are monopolized by Germany and Japan, if a robot costs 100 yuan, 35 yuan will buy a reducer, and 25 yuan will buy it. Motors and control systems, several of China's largest robot manufacturing companies are currently mainly engaged in assembly and system integration. Even if a company that has developed a gear reducer is not yet internationally certified, it is difficult to open the market.
"It takes time for the domestic industry to go to the international leading position in the field of industrial robots, but it is very promising in the field of human-robot cooperative robots and service robots to realize cornering overtaking." Cai Hongping introduced that human-robot cooperative robots are not dependent on the speed reducer. It mainly relies on the integration of intelligent sensing and network data. In this regard, China's market has a huge advantage; followed by service robots, is B2C, such as household sweeping robots, aging society, the demand will be very large.
Cai Hongping stated that China’s robot R&D can focus on 3C, computers, mobile phones, and pharmaceutical packaging. In addition, China’s accumulated human-computer interaction technology, online operation technology, sound sensing technology, and sufficient spare parts supply, 5G era is coming. China is expected to lead the world in the field of human-robot collaboration robots and service robots.
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